Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Saturday 15th August 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Pogoń Siedlce Polonia Warszawa

Pogoń Siedlce D L D L L L

Polonia Warszawa W W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Polonia Warszawa	Pogoń Siedlce	2 - 0	November 29, 2025
Pogoń Siedlce	Polonia Warszawa	1 - 1	July 20, 2025
Polonia Warszawa	Pogoń Siedlce	2 - 1	April 9, 2025
Pogoń Siedlce	Polonia Warszawa	2 - 4	September 22, 2024
Polonia Warszawa	Pogoń Siedlce	0 - 2	January 27, 2024
Polonia Warszawa	Pogoń Siedlce	0 - 1	November 13, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	ŁKS Łódź	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Radomiak Radom	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Jagiellonia	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Unia Skierniewice	0 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Puszcza Niepołomice	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Zlin	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Pelikan Łowicz	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Motor Lublin	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Wisla Plock	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
8	Pogoń Siedlce	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1

This prediction indicates that Polonia Warszawa has a 45.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.74 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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