I Liga
Match Analysis
Pogoń Siedlce
Arka Gdynia
Pogoń Siedlce
W
L
W
D
L
D
Arka Gdynia
D
L
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń Siedlce | Arka Gdynia | 1 - 1 | April 26, 2025 |
| Arka Gdynia | Pogoń Siedlce | 2 - 1 | October 20, 2024 |
Pogoń Siedlce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Stal Mielec | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Lechia Gdansk | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Polonia Warszawa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Polonia Bytom | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Nieciecza | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | ŁKS Łódź | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Arka Gdynia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Polonia Bytom | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Miedz Legnica | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Puszcza Niepołomice | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Unia Skierniewice | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Stal Rzeszów | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Odra Opole | 0 - 1 | Win |
I Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Pogoń Siedlce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Arka Gdynia to win
This prediction indicates that Arka Gdynia has a 41.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.51 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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