Pogoń Siedlce vs Nieciecza Saturday 01st August 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Pogoń Siedlce Nieciecza

Pogoń Siedlce D L L L L L

Nieciecza W W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nieciecza	Pogoń Siedlce	1 - 1	February 22, 2025
Pogoń Siedlce	Nieciecza	1 - 2	August 11, 2024

Pogoń Siedlce Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Jagiellonia	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Unia Skierniewice	0 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	2 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Stal Rzeszów	1 - 2	Loss

Nieciecza Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Korona Kielce	0 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1 - 2	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Puszcza Niepołomice	0 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Resovia Rzeszów	4 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	3 - 4	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Unia Tarnow	0 - 5	Win

I Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Nieciecza	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Pogoń Siedlce	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that both Pogoń Siedlce and Nieciecza will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Nieciecza to win

This prediction indicates that Nieciecza has a 59.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.91 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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