Premier League
Match Analysis
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
W
W
L
D
L
L
Zorya Luhansk
L
W
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that Polessya will win with a 60% probability, reflecting a clear quality gap in their favor and stronger recent form compared to Zorya Luhansk. Despite Polessya's history of dominating recent meetings, the model also suggests a 52% chance that both teams will score, indicating an expectation that Zorya Luhansk might manage to find the net. The model sees a 57% likelihood that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, and a 54% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored, showing it expects a moderately high-scoring game. This outlook aligns with Polessya's strong attacking form and higher chance creation, though the market odds imply slightly less confidence in a home win and a higher-scoring match than the model does.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk | Polessya | 0 - 0 | May 18, 2026 |
| Polessya | Zorya Luhansk | 2 - 0 | November 30, 2025 |
| Zorya Luhansk | Polessya | 0 - 1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Polessya | Zorya Luhansk | 1 - 1 | November 25, 2024 |
| Polessya | Zorya Luhansk | 1 - 1 | May 5, 2024 |
| Zorya Luhansk | Polessya | 0 - 1 | October 28, 2023 |
Polessya Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Chornomorets | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | FC Copenhagen | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FC Copenhagen | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Plzen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Shimizu S-pulse | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Zorya Luhansk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Kryvbas KR | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Goztepe | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Grimsby | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Konyaspor | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Slovácko | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Polessya | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 | Zorya Luhansk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that both Polessya and Zorya Luhansk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Polessya to win
This prediction indicates that Polessya has a 59.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.32 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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