Police vs Homeboyz Saturday 30th May 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Police Homeboyz

Police D D D W D W

Homeboyz D L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Homeboyz	Police	2 - 2	December 22, 2025
Homeboyz	Police	2 - 1	May 14, 2025
Police	Homeboyz	1 - 1	December 21, 2024
Homeboyz	Police	1 - 2	May 5, 2024
Police	Homeboyz	3 - 0	January 6, 2024
Homeboyz	Police	0 - 1	March 12, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Home	Kariobangi Sharks	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Nairobi United	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	GOR Mahia	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Murang'a SEAL	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Shabana	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	AFC Leopards	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Kariobangi Sharks	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	AFC Leopards	1 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Murang'a SEAL	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	GOR Mahia	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	KCB	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Shabana	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Police	33	13	15	5	30	20	+10	54
6	Homeboyz	33	11	12	10	44	38	+6	45

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Police has a 40.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.78 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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