Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce Friday 07th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Polonia Bytom Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Bytom W L W W L L

Pogoń Siedlce L D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Polonia Bytom	Pogoń Siedlce	1 - 1	February 22, 2026
Pogoń Siedlce	Polonia Bytom	2 - 0	August 17, 2025
Pogoń Siedlce	Polonia Bytom	3 - 3	March 17, 2024
Polonia Bytom	Pogoń Siedlce	1 - 1	September 2, 2023

Polonia Bytom Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	KSZO 1929	4 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Opava	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Gryf Wejherowo	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Stal Mielec	4 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Slask Wroclaw	1 - 3	Loss

Pogoń Siedlce Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Radomiak Radom	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Jagiellonia	4 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Unia Skierniewice	0 - 3	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	2 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Stal Mielec	1 - 3	Loss

I Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Pogoń Siedlce	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Polonia Bytom	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.09% likelihood that both Polonia Bytom and Pogoń Siedlce will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Polonia Bytom to win

This prediction indicates that Polonia Bytom has a 51.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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