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Primera División RFEF - Play Offs logo

Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
0 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ponferradina Celta de Vigo II
Ponferradina W D W W W L
Celta de Vigo II D D D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ponferradina Celta de Vigo II 0 - 0 February 8, 2026
Celta de Vigo II Ponferradina 2 - 0 November 23, 2025
Celta de Vigo II Ponferradina 1 - 1 March 2, 2025
Ponferradina Celta de Vigo II 2 - 1 October 5, 2024
Celta de Vigo II Ponferradina 0 - 0 March 9, 2024
Ponferradina Celta de Vigo II 2 - 1 August 27, 2023

Ponferradina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Atlético Madrid II 0 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Home Atlético Madrid II 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Athletic Club II 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Arenteiro 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Real Avilés 3 - 1 Win
May 2, 26 Away Zamora 3 - 0 Loss

Celta de Vigo II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Europa Fc 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Europa Fc 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Barakaldo 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Lugo 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Ourense CF 2 - 4 Win
May 1, 26 Home Osasuna II 0 - 1 Loss

Primera División RFEF - Play Offs Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ponferradina 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
6 Celta de Vigo II 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ponferradina to win
This prediction indicates that Ponferradina has a 43.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.96 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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