Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Ponferradina
Lugo
Ponferradina
D
W
D
L
L
D
Lugo
W
L
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | Ponferradina | 0 - 2 | February 1, 2026 |
| Ponferradina | Lugo | 1 - 1 | November 15, 2025 |
| Ponferradina | Lugo | 0 - 1 | March 23, 2025 |
| Lugo | Ponferradina | 0 - 1 | December 14, 2024 |
| Ponferradina | Lugo | 0 - 0 | March 17, 2024 |
| Lugo | Ponferradina | 0 - 0 | September 17, 2023 |
Ponferradina Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Real Madrid II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Marino de Luanco | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Real Avilés | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Oviedo | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Celta de Vigo II | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Lugo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Coruxo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Arenteiro | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Celta de Vigo II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Zamora | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Lugo | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Ponferradina | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ponferradina to win
This prediction indicates that Ponferradina has a 49.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.24 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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