Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Ponferradina
Mérida AD
Ponferradina
D
W
D
W
D
L
Mérida AD
W
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina | Mérida AD | 4 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Mérida AD | Ponferradina | 0 - 0 | October 24, 2025 |
Ponferradina Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Lugo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | UD Ourense | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Real Madrid II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Marino de Luanco | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Real Avilés | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Oviedo | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Mérida AD Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruña II | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Alcorcon | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Leganes | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Al-Nassr | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Benfica B | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Osasuna II | 1 - 2 | Win |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ponferradina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mérida AD | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ponferradina to win
This prediction indicates that Ponferradina has a 48.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.12 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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