Ponferradina vs Mirandes Sunday 04th October 2026 05:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Oct. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Ponferradina Mirandes
Ponferradina W L D W D W
Mirandes D W W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ponferradina Mirandes 0 - 0 March 26, 2023
Mirandes Ponferradina 2 - 1 December 17, 2022
Mirandes Ponferradina 3 - 1 March 27, 2022
Ponferradina Mirandes 2 - 1 December 5, 2021
Ponferradina Mirandes 1 - 0 February 19, 2021
Mirandes Ponferradina 0 - 1 October 3, 2020

Ponferradina Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Home Mérida AD 1 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Deportivo La Coruña II 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 4, 26 Home Lugo 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away UD Ourense 0 - 1 Win
Aug 19, 26 Home Real Madrid II 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Marino de Luanco 0 - 3 Win

Mirandes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Real Unión 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away Mérida AD 3 - 4 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home UD Ourense 2 - 0 Win
Aug 28, 26 Away Cacereño 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home UD Logroñés 4 - 0 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away La Calzada 0 - 1 Win

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Mirandes 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
11 Ponferradina 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4

Predictions

Ponferradina to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ponferradina has a 34.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.49 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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