Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã Sunday 16th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Ponte da Barca Vila Meã

Ponte da Barca D L W

Vila Meã L D W L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 19	Away	Merelinense	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 25, 16	Away	Estarreja	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 4, 16	Home	Montalegre	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Dec 17, 25	Home	União de Leiria	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 23, 25	Home	Leixoes	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 19, 25	Home	Vila Caíz	1 - 0	Win
Oct 9, 25	Home	Guimaraes	1 - 4	Loss
Sep 21, 25	Away	Os Limianos	0 - 4	Win
Aug 31, 25	Away	Aparecida	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Vila Meã	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Ponte da Barca	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ponte da Barca has a 35.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.07 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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