Serie B
Match Analysis
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
L
L
L
L
W
W
Botafogo SP
L
L
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | 1 - 0 | October 5, 2024 |
| Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | 2 - 0 | June 20, 2024 |
| Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | 0 - 0 | August 12, 2023 |
| Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | 2 - 0 | May 2, 2023 |
| Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | 2 - 1 | December 8, 2020 |
| Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | 1 - 0 | September 5, 2020 |
Ponte Preta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | CRB | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Londrina | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Sport Recife | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | São Bernardo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Avai | 1 - 2 | Win |
Botafogo SP Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Goias | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Novorizontino | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Nautico Recife | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 23, 26 | Away | Cuiaba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Atletico Goianiense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Ponte Preta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ponte Preta has a 38.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.97 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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