Ponte Preta vs Nautico Recife Saturday 15th August 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Ponte Preta Nautico Recife

Ponte Preta D L L L L L

Nautico Recife D W L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nautico Recife	Ponte Preta	1 - 0	April 4, 2026
Ponte Preta	Nautico Recife	1 - 1	September 27, 2025
Nautico Recife	Ponte Preta	0 - 1	September 20, 2025
Nautico Recife	Ponte Preta	0 - 1	May 24, 2025
Nautico Recife	Ponte Preta	0 - 1	November 5, 2022
Ponte Preta	Nautico Recife	1 - 0	July 20, 2022

Ponte Preta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Athletic Club	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Operario-PR	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Goias	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Criciuma	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	2 - 0	Loss

Nautico Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Criciuma	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Home	Londrina	2 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 26	Away	CRB	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Avai	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Juventude	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Goias	0 - 1	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
13	Nautico Recife	20	7	4	9	24	24	0	25
20	Ponte Preta	20	2	3	15	15	39	-24	9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Ponte Preta or Nautico Recife to win

This prediction indicates that Nautico Recife has a 40.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.27 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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