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League Two
Port Vale logo Port Vale
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Exeter City logo Exeter City

Match Analysis

Port Vale Exeter City
Port Vale D L L W W W
Exeter City W L L D L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Port Vale Exeter City 1 - 3 January 24, 2026
Exeter City Port Vale 0 - 2 September 13, 2025
Port Vale Exeter City 2 - 4 April 13, 2024
Exeter City Port Vale 0 - 1 December 9, 2023
Port Vale Exeter City 1 - 0 February 18, 2023
Port Vale Exeter City 2 - 3 November 5, 2022

Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Tranmere 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Oldham 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Wolves 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Blackpool 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Real Murcia 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Wigan 1 - 3 Win

Exeter City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Accrington ST 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Grimsby 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 10, 26 Away Plymouth 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Bristol City 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Away Torquay 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Weston-super-Mare 0 - 2 Win

League Two Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
17 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
21 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Port Vale to win
This prediction indicates that Port Vale has a 46.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.98 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

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