EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Port Vale
Manchester City U21
Port Vale
L
L
W
W
W
W
Manchester City U21
L
L
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Wolves | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Blackpool | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Real Murcia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Wigan | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Tamworth | 5 - 0 | Win |
Manchester City U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 25 | Away | Rotherham | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 23, 25 | Away | Bolton | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 25 | Away | Oldham | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 26, 25 | Away | Buxton | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 25 | Away | Lommel United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Nov 12, 24 | Away | Lincoln | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Port Vale to win
This prediction indicates that Port Vale has a 52.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.46 %Most Likely Scorelines
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