Premiership
Match Analysis
Portadown
Larne
Portadown
L
L
L
L
W
W
Larne
L
W
D
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | Larne | 2 - 1 | February 14, 2026 |
| Larne | Portadown | 3 - 0 | November 7, 2025 |
| Larne | Portadown | 4 - 0 | August 22, 2025 |
| Portadown | Larne | 2 - 0 | February 15, 2025 |
| Larne | Portadown | 1 - 1 | February 1, 2025 |
| Portadown | Larne | 2 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
Portadown Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Coleraine FC | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Crusaders FC | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Dungannon Swifts | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Carrick Rangers | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Kilbarrack United | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | H&W Welders | 0 - 2 | Win |
Larne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Coleraine FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Saburtalo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Saburtalo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | FK Crvena Zvezda | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Premiership Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Larne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Larne to win
This prediction indicates that Larne has a 50.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.61 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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