MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Portland Timbers II
Tacoma Defiance
Portland Timbers II
L
W
W
D
W
D
Tacoma Defiance
W
W
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | August 25, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2025 |
| Portland Timbers II | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | May 19, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers II | 5 - 2 | September 9, 2024 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 0 | July 1, 2024 |
| Portland Timbers II | Tacoma Defiance | 4 - 1 | May 11, 2024 |
Portland Timbers II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo FC II | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 18, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Minnesota United II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | LA Galaxy II | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | North Texas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | LA Galaxy II | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Whitecaps II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | Austin II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 4, 26 | Away | Swope Park Rangers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 27, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | St. Louis City II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portland Timbers II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 23 | Tacoma Defiance | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.63% likelihood that both Portland Timbers II and Tacoma Defiance will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Portland Timbers II or Tacoma Defiance to win
This prediction indicates that Portland Timbers II has a 41.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.46 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 76.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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