Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas Thursday 23rd July 2026 05:30 AM football predictions.

Portland Timbers FC Dallas

Portland Timbers L L D W L W

FC Dallas W W L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Portland Timbers	FC Dallas	2 - 2	September 28, 2025
FC Dallas	Portland Timbers	2 - 0	August 10, 2025
Portland Timbers	FC Dallas	0 - 0	October 6, 2024
FC Dallas	Portland Timbers	3 - 2	July 5, 2024
Portland Timbers	FC Dallas	1 - 0	June 12, 2023
FC Dallas	Portland Timbers	1 - 1	April 2, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	San Jose Earthquakes	1 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Inter Miami	2 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	CF Montreal	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Sporting Kansas City	6 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Real Salt Lake	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	San Diego	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Colorado Rapids	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	San Jose Earthquakes	2 - 3	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Vancouver Whitecaps	2 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Real Salt Lake	3 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	New York Red Bulls	0 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Seattle Sounders	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30	22	+8	25
23	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22	28	-6	14

This prediction indicates that Portland Timbers has a 39.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.24 %

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