Porto Velho vs Gama Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Porto Velho Gama

Porto Velho D D W W D D

Gama W W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gama	Porto Velho	1 - 1	July 31, 2021
Porto Velho	Gama	1 - 1	July 10, 2021

Porto Velho Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Sao Raimundo	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Sao Raimundo	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Humaitá	13 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Galvez	2 - 6	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Araguaína	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Guaporé	0 - 0	Draw

Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Mixto	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Mixto	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Aparecidense	2 - 2	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Inhumas	0 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Primavera MG	4 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Brasiliense	3 - 2	Win

Serie D Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Gama	12	10	2	0	26	7	+19	32
22	Porto Velho	11	5	4	2	34	10	+24	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that both Porto Velho and Gama will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Gama to win

This prediction indicates that Gama has a 47.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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