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Serie D

July 4, 2026 4 days, 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Porto Velho Gama
Porto Velho D D W W D D
Gama W W D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gama Porto Velho 1 - 1 July 31, 2021
Porto Velho Gama 1 - 1 July 10, 2021

Porto Velho Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Sao Raimundo 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Sao Raimundo 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Humaitá 13 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Galvez 2 - 6 Win
May 24, 26 Away Araguaína 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Guaporé 0 - 0 Draw

Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Mixto 1 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Mixto 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Aparecidense 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Inhumas 0 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Primavera MG 4 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Brasiliense 3 - 2 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gama 12 10 2 0 26 7 +19 32
22 Porto Velho 11 5 4 2 34 10 +24 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.7% likelihood that both Porto Velho and Gama will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Gama to win
This prediction indicates that Gama has a 47.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.30 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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