UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Portugal
Wales
Portugal
L
W
D
W
D
W
Wales
L
D
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | Wales | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2016 |
Portugal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Spain | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 2, 26 | Home | Croatia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Colombia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 23, 26 | Home | Uzbekistan | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Congo DR | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 10, 26 | Home | Nigeria | 2 - 1 | Win |
Wales Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Romania | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Ghana | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Mar 31, 26 | Home | Northern Ireland | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Mar 26, 26 | Home | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Nov 18, 25 | Home | FYR Macedonia | 7 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 15, 25 | Away | Liechtenstein | 0 - 1 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that both Portugal and Wales will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Portugal to win
This prediction indicates that Portugal has a 65.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.42 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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