Carioca U20
Match Analysis
Portuguesa RJ U20
Maricá U20
Portuguesa RJ U20
L
L
L
W
L
L
Maricá U20
D
L
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Portuguesa RJ U20 and Maricá U20 have been struggling in their recent matches, indicating that neither team is in great form right now. Additionally, Maricá U20 have had issues with their defense lately. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which aligns with the view that the two teams are closely matched but hints at a slight edge for the home side given the current circumstances. The model also sees a 45% chance that neither team will score, suggesting a potentially low-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maricá U20 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 0 - 4 | August 30, 2025 |
Portuguesa RJ U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Vasco da Gama U20 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Flamengo U20 | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Nov 7, 25 | Away | Volta Redonda U20 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Nov 2, 25 | Home | Volta Redonda U20 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Oct 25, 25 | Away | Vasco da Gama U20 | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 18, 25 | Home | Vasco da Gama U20 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Maricá U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Vasco da Gama U20 | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Nov 8, 25 | Away | Bangu U20 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Nov 1, 25 | Home | Bangu U20 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Oct 25, 25 | Away | Flamengo U20 | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 18, 25 | Home | Flamengo U20 | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Carioca U20 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maricá U20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Portuguesa RJ U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Portuguesa RJ U20 has a 43.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.80 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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