Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ Sunday 31st May 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Portuguesa RJ América RJ

Portuguesa RJ D W D L W D

América RJ L W L D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
América RJ	Portuguesa RJ	0 - 4	April 11, 2026
América RJ	Portuguesa RJ	1 - 1	January 4, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Madureira	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Pouso Alegre	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Água Santa	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Água Santa	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Pouso Alegre	2 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Madureira	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Portuguesa	4 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Madureira	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Pouso Alegre	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Pouso Alegre	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Madureira	2 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Portuguesa	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
25	Portuguesa RJ	8	3	4	1	12	5	+7	13
77	América RJ	8	2	2	4	8	19	-11	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Portuguesa RJ has a 59.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.15 %

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