1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
Posušje
GOŠK Gabela
Posušje
W
W
D
W
D
L
GOŠK Gabela
W
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two teams are closely matched in overall quality, but Posušje has a history of dominating this matchup. Despite recent defensive struggles for Posušje, the model predicts a home win with a 58% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds imply. The model also sees a slight edge toward 'over' for 1.5 goals and 'under' for 2.5 goals, aligning somewhat with the market view on totals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOŠK Gabela | Posušje | 1 - 2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Posušje | GOŠK Gabela | 1 - 2 | November 30, 2024 |
| GOŠK Gabela | Posušje | 0 - 1 | August 26, 2024 |
| GOŠK Gabela | Posušje | 0 - 1 | March 30, 2024 |
| GOŠK Gabela | Posušje | 1 - 1 | March 9, 2024 |
| Posušje | GOŠK Gabela | 0 - 0 | October 21, 2023 |
Posušje Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Čapljina | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Radnik Hadžići | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Igman Konjic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Bratstvo Gračanica | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Tomislav | 3 - 1 | Loss |
GOŠK Gabela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Radnik Hadžići | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | TOŠK Tešanj | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Budućnost Banovići | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Tomislav | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Čelik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GOŠK Gabela | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Posušje | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Posušje to win
This prediction indicates that Posušje has a 58.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.52 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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