1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
Posušje
Zvijezda Gradačac
Posušje
D
L
L
L
L
L
Zvijezda Gradačac
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features Zvijezda Gradačac with a modest quality edge, but both teams are currently in poor recent form and have similar rest periods ahead of the game. Posušje have had defensive issues recently, while Zvijezda Gradačac have been strong in attack. The model predicts a home win with a 39% probability, which is notably less confident than one might expect given the quality gap. Additionally, the model sees low chances for both teams scoring and for the match producing more than one or two goals overall.
Posušje Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Bratstvo Gračanica | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Tomislav | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Solin | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Zrinjski | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 26, 26 | Away | Borac Banja Luka | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Sloga Doboj | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Zvijezda Gradačac Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | TOŠK Tešanj | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Zvijezda 09 | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Čelik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 21, 22 | Home | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 4 - 3 | Win |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Posušje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Posušje or Zvijezda Gradačac to win
This prediction indicates that Posušje has a 39.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.15 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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