Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Potenza
Casarano
Potenza
L
L
L
D
W
W
Casarano
D
L
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casarano | Potenza | 2 - 1 | April 6, 2026 |
| Potenza | Casarano | 3 - 1 | November 30, 2025 |
Potenza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Ascoli | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Juve Stabia | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Ascoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Ascoli | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Città di Campobasso | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Città di Campobasso | 0 - 3 | Win |
Casarano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 26 | Away | Union Brescia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Union Brescia | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Renate | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Renate | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Nuova Cosenza | 1 - 5 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | SS Monopoli | 0 - 2 | Win |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Casarano | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Potenza | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that both Potenza and Casarano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Potenza or Casarano to win
This prediction indicates that Casarano has a 39.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.56 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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