Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Pouso Alegre Portuguesa

Pouso Alegre L L W D L L

Portuguesa W D L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Portuguesa	Pouso Alegre	3 - 0	April 11, 2026
Pouso Alegre	Portuguesa	2 - 0	June 14, 2025
Portuguesa	Pouso Alegre	2 - 1	May 24, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Água Santa	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	0 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	América RJ	3 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	América RJ	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Água Santa	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	América RJ	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Água Santa	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Madureira	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Madureira	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Água Santa	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	América RJ	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Portuguesa	8	4	3	1	12	5	+7	15
80	Pouso Alegre	8	2	1	5	5	11	-6	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Portuguesa has a 55.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.93 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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