Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Preston Lions
Dandenong Thunder
Preston Lions
D
W
D
W
W
W
Dandenong Thunder
L
L
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dandenong Thunder | Preston Lions | 0 - 1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Preston Lions | Dandenong Thunder | 2 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| Dandenong Thunder | Preston Lions | 3 - 0 | May 10, 2025 |
Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Green Gully | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Bentleigh Greens | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Hume City | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Avondale | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 0 - 2 | Win |
Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Dandenong City | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Green Gully | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Bentleigh Greens | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Hume City | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Lions | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 43 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 15 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.92% likelihood that both Preston Lions and Dandenong Thunder will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Preston Lions to win
This prediction indicates that Preston Lions has a 69.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.16 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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