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Victoria NPL

July 10, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Preston Lions Hume City
Preston Lions W W W L L W
Hume City W W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hume City Preston Lions 3 - 2 March 28, 2026
Hume City Preston Lions 0 - 1 May 16, 2025
Preston Lions Hume City 2 - 1 February 7, 2025

Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 0 - 2 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Heidelberg United 0 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Oakleigh Cannons 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Altona Magic 1 - 0 Loss
May 8, 26 Home Dandenong City 1 - 0 Win

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Dandenong Thunder 1 - 3 Win
Jun 20, 26 Home Green Gully 3 - 2 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 1 - 5 Win
May 30, 26 Home South Melbourne 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Altona Magic 1 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Home Avondale 3 - 0 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Hume City 18 12 3 3 39 22 +17 39
4 Preston Lions 17 10 2 5 25 13 +12 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that both Preston Lions and Hume City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Correct Score 2 - 2
This prediction indicates that Preston Lions will score 2 goals, and Hume City will score 2 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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