Championship
Match Analysis
Preston
Millwall
Preston
D
L
L
W
L
L
Millwall
D
D
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Preston and Millwall are coming off poor recent performances, but the model sees Millwall as the stronger side overall. Despite this, their past encounters have often ended in draws. The model predicts a 41% chance of an away win for Millwall, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 2.5 goals overall, aligning closely with the market view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | Millwall | 0 - 2 | February 28, 2026 |
| Millwall | Preston | 1 - 1 | November 8, 2025 |
| Preston | Millwall | 1 - 1 | February 18, 2025 |
| Millwall | Preston | 3 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
| Millwall | Preston | 1 - 1 | January 27, 2024 |
| Preston | Millwall | 1 - 1 | October 21, 2023 |
Preston Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | QPR | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Watford | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Blackburn | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Bristol City | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Charlton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Millwall Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | West Ham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Blackburn | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Newcastle | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Bolton | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
Predictions
Millwall to win
This prediction indicates that Millwall has a 41.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.04 %Most Likely Scorelines
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