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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Primavera MG Brasiliense
Primavera MG D L W W W D
Brasiliense D W L L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Brasiliense Primavera MG 1 - 1 April 5, 2026

Primavera MG Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Aparecidense 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Gama 4 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Luverdense 1 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Inhumas 0 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Inhumas 2 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Luverdense 1 - 1 Draw

Brasiliense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Luverdense 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Inhumas 1 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Gama 3 - 2 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Aparecidense 2 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Aparecidense 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Gama 1 - 1 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
53 Primavera MG 9 3 3 3 9 11 -2 12
59 Brasiliense 9 2 5 2 9 9 0 11

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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