PRO Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi Saturday 03rd October 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

PRO Vercelli Athletic Carpi

PRO Vercelli D L W L D W

Athletic Carpi D L W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	Alcione	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Treviso	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Home	Folgore Caratese	1 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Away	Arzignano Valchiampo	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Desenzano Calvina	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Pisa	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	Ospitaletto	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Cittadella	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Albinoleffe	0 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Juventus U23	3 - 3	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Away	Union Brescia	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Mantova	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	PRO Vercelli	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Athletic Carpi	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that PRO Vercelli has a 42.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.16 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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