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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Progreso Albion FC
Progreso W L L L L L
Albion FC L L D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Progreso Albion FC 2 - 2 March 7, 2026
Progreso Albion FC 3 - 2 November 29, 2023
Albion FC Progreso 3 - 0 July 22, 2023
Progreso Albion FC 1 - 0 April 22, 2023

Progreso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Danubio 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Juventud 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Atletico Torque 2 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 27, 26 Away Defensor Sporting 1 - 0 Loss

Albion FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Club Nacional 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Wanderers 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Danubio 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Home Club Nacional 3 - 2 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 2 Win

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Albion FC 18 8 5 5 27 19 +8 29
15 Progreso 18 3 4 11 15 28 -13 13

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Albion FC to win
This prediction indicates that Albion FC has a 47.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.53 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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