Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas Saturday 01st August 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Puebla Guadalajara Chivas

Puebla W L W L L L

Guadalajara Chivas D L D W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Guadalajara Chivas	Puebla	5 - 0	April 19, 2026
Puebla	Guadalajara Chivas	0 - 2	September 27, 2025
Guadalajara Chivas	Puebla	1 - 0	April 16, 2025
Puebla	Guadalajara Chivas	1 - 0	October 26, 2024
Guadalajara Chivas	Puebla	3 - 2	April 7, 2024
Puebla	Guadalajara Chivas	0 - 2	October 21, 2023

Puebla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Atlas	3 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Pachuca	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Tlaxcala	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Club Queretaro	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Monterrey	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Guadalajara Chivas	5 - 0	Loss

Guadalajara Chivas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Correcaminos Uat	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Cruz Azul	1 - 2	Loss
May 14, 26	Away	Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Tigres UANL	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Tigres UANL	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Club Tijuana	0 - 0	Draw

Liga MX Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Guadalajara Chivas	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.96% likelihood that both Puebla and Guadalajara Chivas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Guadalajara Chivas to win

This prediction indicates that Guadalajara Chivas has a 58.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.52 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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