Primera C
Match Analysis
Puerto Nuevo
Defensores de Cambaceres
Puerto Nuevo
D
D
W
D
W
W
Defensores de Cambaceres
L
W
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Puerto Nuevo have shown moderate form recently, while Defensores de Cambaceres are coming off a spell of poor results. Despite Defensores de Cambaceres' historical dominance in head-to-head matches and Puerto Nuevo only holding a modest quality edge, the model predicts a home win with a 39% probability—slightly more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward 'Under 2.5 goals' for this match, showing notably stronger confidence in a lower-scoring game than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Puerto Nuevo | 0 - 0 | April 26, 2026 |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Puerto Nuevo | 2 - 1 | September 5, 2025 |
| Puerto Nuevo | Defensores de Cambaceres | 1 - 2 | May 24, 2025 |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Puerto Nuevo | 3 - 2 | August 3, 2024 |
| Puerto Nuevo | Defensores de Cambaceres | 4 - 0 | March 3, 2024 |
| Defensores de Cambaceres | Puerto Nuevo | 1 - 0 | October 5, 2021 |
Puerto Nuevo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Yupanqui | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Juventud Unida | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Sacachispas | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Argentino Rosario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Fénix | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Estrella Del Sur | 1 - 0 | Win |
Defensores de Cambaceres Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Leones de Rosario | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Leandro N. Alem | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Lugano | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Juventud Unida | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | General Lamadrid | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Sacachispas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 38 |
| 22 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 25 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Puerto Nuevo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Puerto Nuevo has a 38.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.31 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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