Puerto Nuevo vs Mercedes Saturday 30th May 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Puerto Nuevo Mercedes

Puerto Nuevo W D L L D D

Mercedes W L L D D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mercedes	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 1	August 24, 2025
Puerto Nuevo	Mercedes	1 - 2	May 11, 2025
Puerto Nuevo	Mercedes	2 - 2	October 20, 2024
Mercedes	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 0	May 21, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Deportivo Paraguayo	0 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Central Ballester	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Lugano	3 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Leandro N. Alem	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Defensores de Cambaceres	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Yupanqui	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Leandro N. Alem	2 - 0	Win
May 18, 26	Away	Deportivo Español	1 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Defensores de Cambaceres	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Juventud Unida	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Sacachispas	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Claypole	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Mercedes	13	4	5	4	9	8	+1	17
18	Puerto Nuevo	13	3	7	3	11	14	-3	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Mercedes has a 40.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.12 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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