Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Qarabag CSKA Sofia

Qarabag W W W L W L

CSKA Sofia W W W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
CSKA Sofia	Qarabag	0 - 1	July 4, 2023
CSKA Sofia	Qarabag	0 - 1	July 7, 2021

Qarabag Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Vestri	0 - 3	Win
Jul 9, 26	Home	Vestri	3 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Home	Ferencvarosi TC	1 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Home	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	2 - 6	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	WSG Wattens	0 - 4	Win
Feb 24, 26	Away	Newcastle	3 - 2	Loss

CSKA Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Derry City	1 - 2	Win
Jul 9, 26	Home	Derry City	3 - 2	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Marek	3 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Odra Opole	2 - 3	Win
Jun 24, 26	Home	Polessya	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Brinje-Grosuplje	1 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.86% likelihood that both Qarabag and CSKA Sofia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Qarabag to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Qarabag has a 37.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.14 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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