Qatar vs Bahrain Thursday 24th September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Gulf Cup of Nations

Sept. 24, 2026 1 day, 8 hours from now VS

Qatar Bahrain

Qatar L L D D L L

Bahrain L L L L L L

SHOT CONVERSION

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Qatar	Bahrain	2 - 2	September 3, 2025
Qatar	Bahrain	1 - 2	January 10, 2023
Qatar	Bahrain	1 - 1	December 29, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 24, 26	Away	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Away	Canada	6 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Switzerland	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	El Salvador	0 - 0	Draw
May 28, 26	Away	Rep. Of Ireland	1 - 0	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Home	Zimbabwe	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Georgia	2 - 0	Loss
Nov 21, 25	Home	Somalia	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Home	Somalia	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Home	Egypt B	0 - 4	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Away	Morocco	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 25	Away	United Arab Emirates	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Bahrain	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Qatar	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Qatar has a 37.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.58 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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