Qingdao Youth Island vs SHANGHAI SIPG Saturday 04th July 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island SHANGHAI SIPG

Qingdao Youth Island W D D W D W

SHANGHAI SIPG W W L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SHANGHAI SIPG	Qingdao Youth Island	4 - 1	March 15, 2026
SHANGHAI SIPG	Qingdao Youth Island	2 - 2	July 26, 2025
Qingdao Youth Island	SHANGHAI SIPG	3 - 3	March 28, 2025
SHANGHAI SIPG	Qingdao Youth Island	2 - 1	September 28, 2024
Qingdao Youth Island	SHANGHAI SIPG	3 - 5	May 18, 2024

Qingdao Youth Island Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Hangzhou Greentown	3 - 1	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Xi'an Ronghai	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Shanghai Shenhua	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Yunnan Yukun	2 - 3	Win
May 19, 26	Home	Beijing Guoan	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Dalian Zhixing	2 - 3	Win

SHANGHAI SIPG Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Henan Jianye	1 - 2	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Shanghai Second	1 - 2	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Shenyang Urban	3 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Tianjin Teda	1 - 1	Draw
May 19, 26	Away	Chengdu Better City	0 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Hangzhou Greentown	2 - 2	Draw

Super League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	SHANGHAI SIPG	16	5	5	6	25	22	+3	20
12	Qingdao Youth Island	15	3	9	3	17	23	-6	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.35% likelihood that both Qingdao Youth Island and SHANGHAI SIPG will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

SHANGHAI SIPG to win

This prediction indicates that SHANGHAI SIPG has a 44.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.62 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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