Queen of the South vs Aberdeen Wednesday 22nd July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Queen of the South Aberdeen

Queen of the South L L D D W D

Aberdeen L W L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Queen of the South	Aberdeen	0 - 3	July 13, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Crusaders FC	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Montrose	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Twente	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Cove Rangers	0 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Dundee	3 - 2	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	ST Mirren	0 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	2 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Livingston	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Aberdeen has a 47.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.59 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 73.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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