Queen of the South vs Crusaders FC Saturday 04th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Queen of the South Crusaders FC

Queen of the South L D D W D D

Crusaders FC L W W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Queen of the South Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	GAP Connah S Quay FC	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Home	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Montrose	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Peterhead	1 - 1	Draw

Crusaders FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 1, 26	Home	Annagh United	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Away	Annagh United	2 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Ballymena United	3 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Glenavon FC	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Portadown	4 - 0	Win
Apr 7, 26	Home	Bangor	1 - 1	Draw

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Crusaders FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2373	Queen of the South	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.51% likelihood that both Queen of the South and Crusaders FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Queen of the South to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Queen of the South has a 39.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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