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Primera Nacional

July 5, 2026 VS

Match Analysis

Quilmes Atlanta
Quilmes L W D W D L
Atlanta L W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency β€” only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline β€” only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance β€” only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances β€” only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability β€” the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atlanta Quilmes 1 - 0 February 16, 2026
Quilmes Atlanta 2 - 1 August 6, 2025
Atlanta Quilmes 2 - 0 April 1, 2025
Atlanta Quilmes 0 - 1 October 7, 2023
Quilmes Atlanta 1 - 2 May 28, 2023
Quilmes Atlanta 1 - 3 May 29, 2022

Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Colegiales 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Agropecuario 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 0 - 1 Loss

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Almagro 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Midland 1 - 2 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Atlanta 18 10 3 5 23 13 +10 33
22 Quilmes 18 5 6 7 16 14 +2 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Quilmes will score 0 goals, and Atlanta will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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