Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
Quilmes
L
W
D
W
D
L
San Martin S.J.
W
D
D
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | 1 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| Quilmes | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 1 | August 6, 2024 |
| San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | 0 - 3 | March 16, 2024 |
| San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | 2 - 1 | June 4, 2022 |
| San Martin S.J. | Quilmes | 1 - 0 | May 6, 2017 |
| Quilmes | San Martin S.J. | 2 - 0 | October 3, 2015 |
Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | San Telmo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Almagro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Patronato | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Colegiales | 0 - 1 | Loss |
San Martin S.J. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Racing Cordoba | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | San Martin Tucuman | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Atletico DE Rafaela | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Agropecuario | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 0 - 2 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 32 |
| 20 | San Martin S.J. | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Quilmes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Quilmes has a 38.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.62 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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