Quilmes vs San Telmo Saturday 15th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Quilmes San Telmo

Quilmes L L W L W D

San Telmo L L L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
San Telmo	Quilmes	0 - 3	March 29, 2026
San Telmo	Quilmes	3 - 2	June 19, 2022

Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Colegiales	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Midland	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Atlanta	2 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Colegiales	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Gimnasia Y Tiro	1 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	San Martin Tucuman	0 - 0	Draw

San Telmo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Racing Cordoba	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Chaco For Ever	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Ferro Carril Oeste	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Racing Cordoba	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Central Norte	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Home	Deportivo Madryn	0 - 0	Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
25	Quilmes	21	6	6	9	18	17	+1	24
32	San Telmo	21	4	8	9	17	23	-6	20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Quilmes to win

This prediction indicates that Quilmes has a 44.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.45 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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