Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils Tuesday 30th June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Rīgas FS BFC Daugavpils

Rīgas FS W W L W W W

BFC Daugavpils D W D D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
BFC Daugavpils	Rīgas FS	0 - 1	May 13, 2026
Rīgas FS	BFC Daugavpils	4 - 1	March 21, 2026
Rīgas FS	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 0	February 28, 2026
Rīgas FS	BFC Daugavpils	5 - 1	September 21, 2025
BFC Daugavpils	Rīgas FS	1 - 7	June 30, 2025
Rīgas FS	BFC Daugavpils	5 - 1	May 9, 2025

Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	0 - 2	Win
Jun 22, 26	Home	Ogre United	6 - 0	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Riga	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Grobiņa	1 - 3	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 2	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win

BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	Riga	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Grobiņa	1 - 0	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Super Nova	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Tukums	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 1	Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Rīgas FS	19	16	1	2	48	14	+34	49
5	BFC Daugavpils	20	6	6	8	21	25	-4	24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.45% likelihood that both Rīgas FS and BFC Daugavpils will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Rīgas FS to win

This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 61.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.38 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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