Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Racing Cordoba
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
W
L
W
L
W
D
San Martin S.J.
D
D
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Racing Cordoba and San Martin S.J. have often ended in draws and with few goals, suggesting a tight contest. Despite San Martin S.J. having a perceived quality advantage, they are currently in poorer recent form compared to Racing Cordoba. The model predicts an away win with a 34% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model strongly suggests the game will finish under 2.5 goals, aligning with the market's preference for a low-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J. | Racing Cordoba | 0 - 0 | March 28, 2026 |
| San Martin S.J. | Racing Cordoba | 1 - 2 | October 27, 2024 |
| Racing Cordoba | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 0 | June 9, 2024 |
Racing Cordoba Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Miguel | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Almirante Brown | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | San Telmo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Atletico Mitre | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Acassuso | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | CA Estudiantes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
San Martin S.J. Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | San Martin Tucuman | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Atletico DE Rafaela | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Agropecuario | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Agropecuario | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Racing Cordoba | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
| 27 | San Martin S.J. | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 28 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
San Martin S.J. to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that San Martin S.J. has a 34.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.62 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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