Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Racing Ferrol
Real Madrid II
Racing Ferrol
L
D
D
D
D
W
Real Madrid II
W
W
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features a clear quality gap favoring Real Madrid II, who also come in with strong recent form compared to Racing Ferrol's poor recent performance. Despite Racing Ferrol's historical dominance in recent meetings and their rest advantage, the model predicts a 40% chance of an away win for Real Madrid II. The model's view aligns with the perceived strength difference between the sides, though it also acknowledges Racing Ferrol's recent defensive issues and their increased shooting chances, which may influence the game's outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | Real Madrid II | 0 - 5 | April 11, 2026 |
| Real Madrid II | Racing Ferrol | 0 - 1 | September 17, 2025 |
| Real Madrid II | Racing Ferrol | 2 - 1 | August 2, 2025 |
| Real Madrid II | Racing Ferrol | 0 - 3 | August 1, 2024 |
| Racing Ferrol | Real Madrid II | 2 - 1 | August 5, 2023 |
| Real Madrid II | Racing Ferrol | 0 - 0 | January 21, 2023 |
Racing Ferrol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | Unionistas de Salamanca | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Osasuna II | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Arenas Getxo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Pontevedra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Real Avilés | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | Athletic Club II | 0 - 1 | Win |
Real Madrid II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruña II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Albacete | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Sabadell | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Sabadell | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Guadalajara | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Arenas Getxo | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Racing Ferrol or Real Madrid II to win
This prediction indicates that Real Madrid II has a 39.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.40 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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