Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
W
D
W
D
W
L
Boston River
D
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo | Boston River | 1 - 0 | August 2, 2026 |
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 0 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | March 5, 2026 |
| Racing Montevideo | Boston River | 0 - 0 | September 13, 2025 |
| Racing Montevideo | Boston River | 2 - 0 | May 23, 2025 |
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 3 | March 22, 2025 |
Racing Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Danubio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Club Nacional | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Boston River | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cerro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Boston River Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Cerro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Danubio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Penarol | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 19 | +12 | 46 |
| 12 | Boston River | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Racing Montevideo to win
This prediction indicates that Racing Montevideo has a 52.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.91 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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