Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
D
D
D
W
L
D
Boston River
D
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 0 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | March 5, 2026 |
| Racing Montevideo | Boston River | 0 - 0 | September 13, 2025 |
| Racing Montevideo | Boston River | 2 - 0 | May 23, 2025 |
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 3 | March 22, 2025 |
| Boston River | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 2 | November 27, 2024 |
Racing Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Defensor Sporting | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Cerro Largo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Central Espanol | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Atletico Torque | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Boston River Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Liverpool Montevideo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 26, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Cerro Largo | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Home | O'Higgins | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Cerro | 4 - 1 | Win |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 37 |
| 12 | Boston River | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Racing Montevideo to win
This prediction indicates that Racing Montevideo has a 51.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.83 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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