Racing Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Saturday 30th May 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Racing Montevideo Defensor Sporting

Racing Montevideo D W L D W D

Defensor Sporting L L L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Racing Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	April 18, 2026
Racing Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	0 - 1	August 17, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Racing Montevideo	2 - 0	February 16, 2025
Defensor Sporting	Racing Montevideo	1 - 2	September 13, 2024
Racing Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	0 - 1	June 22, 2024
Racing Montevideo	Defensor Sporting	1 - 2	March 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Away	Liverpool Montevideo	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Cerro Largo	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Central Espanol	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Cerro Largo	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Defensor Sporting	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Penarol	0 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Central Espanol	2 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Juventud	1 - 2	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Penarol	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 27, 26	Home	Progreso	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Racing Montevideo	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	17	10	5	2	24	14	+10	35
11	Defensor Sporting	17	5	6	6	14	15	-1	21

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Racing Montevideo has a 38.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.47 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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