Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta FC Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Raków Częstochowa Valletta FC

Raków Częstochowa L W W L W W

Valletta FC W L W W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Zulte Waregem	4 - 3	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Olympiakos Piraeus	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Puszcza Niepołomice	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Piast Gliwice	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Arka Gdynia	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Piast Gliwice	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 25	Home	Marsaxlokk	2 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 25	Away	Sliema Wanderers	2 - 1	Loss
Nov 16, 24	Away	Melita	0 - 1	Win
Aug 30, 24	Away	Mosta	0 - 2	Win
Jul 23, 22	Away	Sirens	0 - 2	Win
Jul 31, 21	Away	Sirens	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Raków Częstochowa has a 67.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.87 %

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